In a stroke of insanely bad luck, the Ironman on Sunday is going to get squarely hit in the teeth with gale-force winds and a moer of a storm. Ironic when the days leading up to Sunday, and almost immediately after Sunday, are all picture perfect weather! Kak luck.
But what's kak luck for some is great news for others....particularly those of us who have been waiting for the first of the real winter swells to pull in. Well, wait no longer. Sunday & Monday are going to be be absolutely massive in JBay. Sunday clocks in with 14-16ft ocean swells, which probably translates to about 10ft wave faces; and then climbing to a crazy 22 - 27ft on Monday - which should see about 12-15ft faces at least. Any takers???? Reckon you could get properly smeared onto the reef trying to make it out the keyhole.....and by the time you look over your shoulder you've been washed down to Point without even catching a wave!
The swell has plenty of south in it unfortunately for those looking to surf the bay in PE. That means Sunday is gonna be pretty average at about 3ft at best - and coupled with stonking gale force winds doesn't look too promising. You know when the wind speeds get coloured purple that it probably isn't going to be a kiff day out on the water!!
However things get better on Monday, which should see us get some decent 5-6ft lines in the bay. The swell still has too much south in it to really clock around into the bay properly - but with 20ft open ocean swell - we'll at least get some decent sized titbits!
The southerly swells are always the phantom one's for the bay. Everyone checks out their windguru's or Magic Seaweeds and gets all excited when they see the swell size. But peeps, the direction is lank important too. Our bay needs a traditional SW swell with a period of 13sec + for it to bend properly around Cape Recife and into the bay. Anything that is SSW or S hits the coast to straight on, and doesn't bend around the point and into our line-ups. So Bluewater Bay is ginormous in a S or SSW, and the Fence to Pipe stretch is average.
Luckily this SSW one is big enough to still get us something, so let's wait and see. Take a sickie or bunk school on Monday - gonna be worth it I think! Not gangbusta by any means, but just good solid head high to overhead swell.
JBay on the other hand is going to be huge on Sunday, and frigging lunatic outta-control on Monday.......but surf that at your peril...make sure your medical aid payments are up to date before you paddle out.....